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Foreign Media: robotic future of poor countries the most destructive
http://www.factoryautmation.com
Article Source:reference news network Update Time:2016-6-3

align="left"> according to UK media analysis shows that the progress of automation and robotics to maximum damage effect on the world's poorest countries, Ethiopia 85% of jobs are in danger of deprivation.

 

According to England "financial times" web site reported on February 2, the United States citigroup (Citi) and the UK, according to a study at the university of Oxford, Martin college of Nepal, Cambodia, China, Bangladesh and Guatemala, and other countries facing the most serious risk "premature to industrialization".

 

"National between income level and the influence of automation degree, there is a strong negative correlation." Martin college in Oxford, technology and employment program, co-director of the Carl bernet dick, Frey (CarlBenedikt Frey) said.

 

According to the report, the research was published a few weeks ago, the world economy BBS (WEF), artificial intelligence, robot technology, and other technological changes by the year 2020 will lead to the development of more than 5 million people are unemployed.

Around the so-called "the fourth industrial revolution" debate have so far focused on the influence of the developed world, Martin college in Oxford in 2013 analysis concluded that the next 20 years, 47% of American jobs would be threatened by automation.

 

 

However, the subsequent analysis of the college seems to suggest that it will have a greater impact in the developing world. At present, trade in agriculture and manufacturing department, low-income countries with relatively high wage countries cost competitive advantage.

The study argues that as robots replace workers, low-income countries will lose this advantage in a growing number of industries, with high wage countries in terms of cost. In addition, the current low level of wages means that poor countries are more easy to be automated, will eventually be replaced jobs.

 

"Even though the developing world a lot of work can be automated, but due to cheap labor supply is adequate, automation is not cost-effective." The report said.

Titled "Technology according to the report, in addition, the ats Workv2.0" report argued that the rise of automation and the development of 3 d printing Technology, will encourage enterprises to make business back home.

The report claimed to have seen the initial sign of the trend, to slow the speed of the global supply chain fragments, in some countries even reversed. According to the report, in 2011, the Philippines, China and Malaysia for export of manufactured goods in the domestic market procurement consist of higher than in 2005.

 

In spite of this, the authors argue that North America will be the trend of the property of the big winners. As the main beneficiaries of offshore outsourcing wave before, emerging markets will become obvious loser.

This, plus the manufacturing efficiency is higher and higher, the Labour intensity decreases, is worrying many developing countries will suffer "premature to industrialization".

Said, what's worse, while developing countries might be more late than rich countries feel the full impact of the automation, "but in the consumer demand is very low and incomplete social security network, the impact is likely to have greater damage effect."

 

In that there are still a large number of small farmers in the emerging countries, from the transformation of labor-intensive production to capital-intensive production will produce problems, especially for agriculture itself easy to improve the degree of automation.

"Just shift workers from agriculture to industry, and is not necessarily a road to prosperity. In China, using a robot's payback period has been shortened to 2 years. I think this is a rather surprising discovery." Frey said.

 

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